If I Hadn’t Seen the Data. . .

I’m going to bury the lede on this one a bit. Bear with me, the payoff will be worth it.

We all know there is a spike in WuFlu cases in the US at the moment. At least some of the increase can be blamed on the Thanksgiving holiday, but certainly not all. For sure testing is up, and the key metrics for tracking the progression of the Chinese Coronavirus are the positivity rate and the number of hospitalizations. Cases really don’t mean much, as around 65% of those infected are asymptomatic.

To reiterate something I have said all along, for 99.5% of those infected, the Chinese Lung AIDS isn’t much worse than the seasonal flu. And if you’re younger than 60 and don’t have any underlying co-morbidities, your chances of coming through unscathed jumps to 99.9%. There have been more deaths from the China virus in those over 70 than younger than 65. That’s what we call an inverse distribution kids. . .

Now, would you believe me if I told you if we removed one state from the US totals cases, hospitalizations and deaths would actually be declining? And no, despite what you hear in the MSM, that state is not Florida. It’s actually one of the states with the tightest Chinese Coronavirus restrictions, California.

If you can’t see the tweet above, it took 9 months for California to hit 1 million cases, and just 6 weeks to hit 2 million. The only good news from Cali is that the rate of deaths isn’t nearly what it is in New York and New Jersey. At 626 per 1m California is at the low end, while NJ (#1) and NY(#2) are at 2,130 and 1,937 per million respectively.

From Politico

“Nationally, there has been a kaleidoscopic application of every imaginable type of lockdown order with California being the most restrictive and inflicting the most devastation on small businesses and the most economically vulnerable service workers. And still, we are none the better as far as COVID is concerned,” California Restaurant Association President and CEO Jot Condie said in a statement. “In fact in L.A. where indoor and outdoor dining are completely shut down, with indoor dining [closed] since July, the virus rages on.” [….]

Assemblymember Jordan Cunningham (R-Templeton) argued that the state’s attempt to “shut down types of human interaction without seeing if that’s effective” was creating a backlash of sorts — “driving people to higher-risk activity” like gathering indoors at home, rather than places like restaurants.

“The public health officials have lost credibility with a huge section of the populace. They’re just tuning them out now,” Cunningham said. “The goalposts are moving all the time. … People are fed up with it and they don’t think it makes any sense, and they’re not wrong.”

I think Assemblyman Cunningham nails it. I see it every day in my home state of NY. New York is probably the second most restrictive state with “targeted” lockdowns and multiple restrictions on businesses. The Worst Governor in America™ seems hell-bent on killing as many upstanding New Yorkers as he can get away with. I noted in yesterday’s View that the governor has prioritized drug addicts over senior citizens for the vaccine.