Tag: Polling

  • Biden Falls Flat in Latest Head to Head Matchup Poll Against Trump

    Biden Falls Flat in Latest Head to Head Matchup Poll Against Trump

    Nick Arama | RedState

    How long has Joe Biden been down in the polls? Ever since last year and the debacle in Afghanistan. That’s a long time and he hasn’t been able to figure out a way to get out of the basement.

    Biden may have thought that dealing with the Russian situation might have helped him and would have people rallying around him. Except the problem is he’s handled it poorly right down the line, ever since he came into office and waived sanctions on Nord Stream 2 and cut our own energy production ability, then waved a flag to Vladimir Putin essentially signaling a “minor incursion” wasn’t going to be met with a severe backlash.

    While he had sanctions he could have dropped and Ukraine was begging for them to be dropped to prevent the invasion, he refused. Then he said “no sanctions would have prevented it” even though his team had been saying for a month that the threat of sanctions was designed to prevent Putin from acting.

    Americans look at his actions like that and 59 percent say Putin moved in because of Biden’s weakness. They can see it. 62 percent also said the invasion wouldn’t have happened under President Donald Trump.

    So no, Biden isn’t getting any lift in the polls from this situation at all and when you look at the polls toward 2024, even the Democrats are saying no, no, no to Joe Biden just before he is about to deliver his State of the Union address.

    According to the Washington Examiner, just 23% of Democratic primary voters would choose Biden for a second term, according to a survey from McLaughlin & Associates, a GOP polling firm. That’s got to make the Democrats sit up and take notice and realize they have a problem. He’s practically screaming to get primaried with numbers like that.

    But the problem is that the people whose names have been tossed around as the “back-ups” are just as bad and their numbers are even worse than Biden’s.

    Notably, support for 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, who has stirred new reports that she’s eager to run again, came from just 4% of Democratic primary voters. And Vice President Kamala Harris is also an afterthought at 7%.

    Hillary Clinton has been doing all she can to get out there and have people see her again. Of course, that’s the problem. When they see her they’re reminded of all the reasons people didn’t vote for her.

    The top issue that is hurting Joe Biden is inflation.

    In his analysis for Newsmax, McLaughlin said, “Two-thirds, 64%, of all voters say that America is on the wrong track. Only 32% say, ‘right direction.’ As gas and food prices rise, the top issue is inflation. The number of voters saying the economy is in recession rose to 57%. Two-thirds, 63%, of the voters say the economy is getting worse, and only 31% said that it is getting better. This is the worst economic result since the coronavirus pandemic caused the economic shutdown in March and April of 2020.”

    This guy speaks for everyone on this issue:

    This is what Biden has brought.

    Meanwhile, Biden is trying to sell that the economy is just great and people are just “psychologically” upset over COVID. It’s a disconnect that keeps offending the voters.

    The survey found a lot of desire for President Donald Trump to run again and he indicated during his CPAC speech that he might do just that. It also found that he’d crush the competition.

    The survey said that not only do Republican primary voters want Trump to run for a third time, 66%-22%, but it also found that Trump would beat Biden, Clinton, and Harris.

    In fact, pollster John McLaughlin predicted an “electoral landslide,” telling Secrets, “Trump would win the needed battleground states by an even higher margin” than in 2020.

    They now can see the reality of Biden – and not what they were sold by the Democrats – and can compare it more fairly to Trump. It’s not surprising that a lot would now be running back to Trump.

    Original Here

  • What Happens To The Polling Industry If Trump Wins?

    What Happens To The Polling Industry If Trump Wins?

    What Happens To The Polling Industry If Trump Wins? 

    In the polling industry, again, things look very much like 2016. 

    Every major national poll shows President Trump trailing Joe Biden.

    In 2016, we saw how badly the polling industry failed. They went all-in on Hillary Clinton only to realize that they had gotten it drastically wrong. In 2020, they are doing the same with Biden. Ironically, Biden’s own campaign has warned that polls showing him with a double-digit lead over Trump are inaccurate. 

    What happens if the polling industry gets it wrong again? 

    Well known pollster Frank Luntz has stated if Trump wins re-election, the industry is finished. 

    In an interview on Wednesday with Larry King, he said,

    “The industry is done.”

    He added, 

    “The profession is done. They were so clear in declaring Hillary Clinton as the winner in 2016, and they were wrong, and now, they’re doing the same thing with Joe Biden in 2020. If Donald Trump can come back and confound the experts, the polling profession is finished as a profession. If the polling is wrong, then my profession is not just gonna have egg in the face, it’s gonna have pie in the face, it is gonna look like Soupy Sales in the 1960s.”

    People, with working grey matter, understand the polling questions are written to support the position of the organization doing the polling. People, with working grey matter, understand the majority of pollsters are in the same bailiwick as the media pundits. From my personal perspective, the loss of the professional pollsters will be a huge win for everyday citizens. 

    Hopefully, in the next few days, we will see an end to the polling industry. 

  • Polling Shows Support For ACB Confirmation

    Polling Shows Support For ACB Confirmation

    A recent poll from Gallup indicates 51% of Americans support the confirmation of Any Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court.

    In a poll conducted between Sep 30-Oct 15, 51% approved, 46% disapproved and 3% had no opinion. The no opinion response was the lowest ts ever been by a wide margin. The previous low was 19% shared among three justices and the long term average is 25%.

    Of note, independent voters break out at a 52%/43%/5% rate. While Dems break out at 15%/84%/1%.

    The Gallup poll tracks with the results of a Siena/NYT poll.

    https://twitter.com/JJHunt10/status/1318548233459802112?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1318548233459802112%7Ctwgr%5Eshare_3%2Ccontainerclick_0&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftownhall.com%2Ftipsheet%2Freaganmccarthy%2F2020%2F10%2F20%2Fgallup-poll-acb-n2578417
  • Trump Gains Ground in Minnesota

    Trump Gains Ground in Minnesota

    A new poll by the Trafalgar group shows Donald Trump in a dead heat with Joe Biden in Minnesota. The poll was conducted over a period of four days, which included the first two days of the DNC, showed both Biden and Trump with 47 percent support from those polled. 

    https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1296295121688895490?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1296295121688895490%7Ctwgr%5E&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftownhall.com%2Ftipsheet%2Felliebufkin%2F2020%2F08%2F20%2Fnew-poll-shows-trump-has-gained-major-ground-in-minnesota-n2574728

    The same poll conducted by Trafalgar at the end of July showed Trump trailing Biden by 5 points.

    In recent weeks, several key polls have shown the president narrowing the gap between himself and Joe Biden, reflecting a similar trend to that seen in 2016. Since the start of the Democratic National Convention on Monday, the president’s polling numbers have jumped.



    While I generally distrust polls, even more so this far out from the election, the upswing in Trump’s numbers seems to be real. His approval ratings, while still less than 50% has increased over the past few weeks.